SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for York City had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
53.05% ( 0.27) | 23.82% ( 0.13) | 23.12% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 53.46% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.45% ( -0.98) | 47.55% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% ( -0.91) | 69.76% ( 0.91) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.13% ( -0.26) | 17.87% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.36% ( -0.45) | 48.64% ( 0.46) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.1% ( -0.9) | 34.9% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.36% ( -0.96) | 71.64% ( 0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.54% Total : 53.05% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.05% Total : 23.12% |
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