SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 53.28%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnet in this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Rochdale |
53.28% ( -0.24) | 22.37% ( 0.02) | 24.35% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 59.83% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.19% ( 0.15) | 39.8% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.84% ( 0.16) | 62.16% ( -0.16) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85% ( -0.03) | 14.99% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.55% ( -0.05) | 43.44% ( 0.05) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% ( 0.26) | 29.62% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.34% ( 0.32) | 65.66% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Rochdale |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 53.28% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.16% Total : 24.35% |
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