Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Scunthorpe United	Draw	York City
28.17% ( -0.9)	24.57% ( -0.3)	47.26% ( 1.19)

Both teams to score 55.92% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.4% (

0.76)

46.6% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.13% (

0.71)

68.87% (

-0.71)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.72% (

-0.26)

30.28% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.55% (

-0.31)

66.45% (

0.31)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.2% (

0.81)

19.8% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.14% (

1.31)

51.86% (

-1.31)

Score Analysis

Scunthorpe United 28.17%

York City 47.26%

Draw 24.56%

Scunthorpe United	Draw	York City
1-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.1% Total : 28.17%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.56%	0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.95% Total : 47.26%