Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 73.5%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 9.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 3-0 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.
