Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 49%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
