SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for York City had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest York City win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Solihull Moors |
35.87% ( -0.02) | 24.86% ( 0.01) | 39.27% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.18% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.92% ( -0.04) | 45.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.57% ( -0.04) | 67.42% ( 0.04) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( -0.03) | 24.62% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.87% ( -0.04) | 59.12% ( 0.04) |
| Solihull Moors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.18% ( -0.02) | 22.82% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.46% ( -0.02) | 56.53% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Solihull Moors |
| 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 35.87% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.23% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.27% |
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