SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Aldershot Town |
43.92% ( -0.17) | 23.72% ( -0.01) | 32.35% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 61.3% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.4% ( 0.11) | 40.59% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.02% ( 0.11) | 62.97% ( -0.12) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.22% ( -0.03) | 18.78% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.81% ( -0.04) | 50.18% ( 0.04) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% ( 0.16) | 24.52% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41% ( 0.22) | 58.99% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 43.92% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.35% |
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