SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 47.99%. A win for York City had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest York City win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Chesterfield |
28.5% ( -0.15) | 23.51% ( 0.02) | 47.99% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 59.79% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.38% ( -0.22) | 41.61% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.98% ( -0.22) | 64.01% ( 0.22) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% ( -0.21) | 27.48% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.02% ( -0.27) | 62.98% ( 0.27) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.45% ( -0.04) | 17.55% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.91% ( -0.07) | 48.08% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.5% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.47% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.86% Total : 47.99% |
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