SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 56.14%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Altrincham |
56.14% ( 0.34) | 21.58% ( -0.08) | 22.28% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 59.94% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.54% ( 0.08) | 38.46% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.25% ( 0.09) | 60.75% ( -0.09) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.38% ( 0.13) | 13.62% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.23% ( 0.26) | 40.77% ( -0.26) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% ( -0.17) | 30.61% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.16% ( -0.2) | 66.84% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Altrincham |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.55% Total : 56.14% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.85% Total : 22.28% |
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