SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sutton United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sutton United.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Sutton United |
28.46% ( 0.11) | 24.66% ( 0.04) | 46.88% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 55.84% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.19% ( -0.09) | 46.8% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.94% ( -0.08) | 69.06% ( 0.08) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.83% ( 0.03) | 30.17% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.68% ( 0.04) | 66.32% ( -0.04) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.96% ( -0.09) | 20.04% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.75% ( -0.15) | 52.25% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 28.46% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 46.88% |
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