Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 15.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.