Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chesterfield in this match.
