SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Eastleigh |
39.28% ( 0.16) | 25.2% ( 0.03) | 35.53% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 56.94% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.34% ( -0.14) | 46.67% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.07% ( -0.13) | 68.93% ( 0.13) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% ( 0.01) | 23.52% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.44% ( 0.02) | 57.56% ( -0.02) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% ( -0.17) | 25.55% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.58% ( -0.23) | 60.42% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torquay United | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.28% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.53% |
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