SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Altrincham |
45.42% ( 0.01) | 25.82% ( 0) | 28.76% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.3% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.47% ( -0.04) | 51.52% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.67% ( -0.03) | 73.32% ( 0.03) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% ( -0.01) | 22.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.73% ( -0.01) | 56.27% ( 0.01) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.61% ( -0.04) | 32.39% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.1% ( -0.04) | 68.9% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Altrincham |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.41% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.76% |
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