Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 22.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.