SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 64.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Chesterfield |
64.08% ( 2.23) | 20.11% ( -0.55) | 15.8% ( -1.68) |
| Both teams to score 53.04% ( -1.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.1% ( -0.61) | 41.89% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.7% ( -0.62) | 64.3% ( 0.61) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.62% ( 0.45) | 12.38% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.75% ( 0.93) | 38.24% ( -0.94) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.54% ( -2.42) | 39.46% ( 2.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.85% ( -2.32) | 76.15% ( 2.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.63) 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.44)2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.57)3-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.36)4-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.17)5-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.48% Total : 64.07% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.33)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.11% | 0-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.4)0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.23)Other @ 1.94% Total : 15.8% |
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