Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 57.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 19.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
