SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Wealdstone |
46.15% ( 0.04) | 24.57% ( -0) | 29.28% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.66% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.03% ( -0.02) | 45.97% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.72% ( -0.02) | 68.27% ( 0.02) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.99% ( 0.01) | 20.01% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.79% ( 0.01) | 52.21% ( -0.01) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.84% ( -0.04) | 29.16% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.9% ( -0.05) | 65.09% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.91% Total : 46.15% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.28% |
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