SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
27.71% ( -3.13) | 24.88% ( -1.22) | 47.41% ( 4.35) |
| Both teams to score 54.56% ( 2.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.77% ( 3.51) | 48.23% ( -3.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.62% ( 3.13) | 70.38% ( -3.13) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.54% ( -0.47) | 31.46% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.15% ( -0.55) | 67.85% ( 0.55) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.61% ( 3.47) | 20.39% ( -3.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.19% ( 5.24) | 52.81% ( -5.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 7.42% ( -1.25) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.45)2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.78)3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.33)Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.71% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.62) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.98)2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.48)0-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.52)1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.72)0-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.67)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.39)1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.46)0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.41)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.25)Other @ 2.74% Total : 47.41% |
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