SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Wrexham |
24.13% ( -0.51) | 22.39% ( 0.06) | 53.47% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 59.49% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.86% ( -0.79) | 40.14% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.49% ( -0.82) | 62.51% ( 0.82) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.02% ( -0.83) | 29.98% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.9% ( -1.01) | 66.09% ( 1.01) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.95% ( -0.13) | 15.04% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.46% ( -0.24) | 43.54% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Wrexham |
| 2-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.06% Total : 24.13% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 6.15% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 53.48% |
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