SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 64.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-0 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Notts County |
15.17% ( -0.13) | 20.19% ( -0.14) | 64.65% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 51.23% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.46% ( 0.36) | 43.54% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.07% ( 0.35) | 65.93% ( -0.34) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.69% ( 0.05) | 41.31% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.17% ( 0.04) | 77.83% ( -0.04) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.28% ( 0.19) | 12.72% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.06% ( 0.38) | 38.94% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Notts County |
| 1-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 15.17% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.19% | 0-2 @ 11.17% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.09)1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.68% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.79% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 3.96% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 3.5% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.63% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.22% Total : 64.64% |
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