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National League | Gameweek 43
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Grosvenor Vale
SM

Wealdstone
3 - 0
Solihull

Ferguson (30'), Obiero (40' pen.), Clayden (67')
Ferguson (61'), Barker (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wealdstone 2-2 Dorking
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 0-0 Solihull
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League

We said: Wealdstone 2-2 Solihull Moors

Both sides have had similar seasons, and there is just one point between them heading into this match. Neither has an awful lot to play for, which could create an open match, and we are predicting an entertaining draw between the two sides on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
WealdstoneDrawSolihull Moors
35.15% (1.201 1.2) 25.1% (0.346 0.35) 39.75% (-1.548 -1.55)
Both teams to score 57.2% (-0.952 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.7% (-1.347 -1.35)46.3% (1.347 1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.41% (-1.285 -1.29)68.59% (1.284 1.28)
Wealdstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (0.061999999999998 0.06)25.6% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (0.085000000000001 0.09)60.48% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Solihull Moors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.88% (-1.345 -1.35)23.12% (1.346 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.02% (-2.01 -2.01)56.98% (2.01 2.01)
Score Analysis
    Wealdstone 35.15%
    Solihull Moors 39.75%
    Draw 25.1%
WealdstoneDrawSolihull Moors
1-0 @ 8.06% (0.464 0.46)
2-1 @ 8.05% (0.168 0.17)
2-0 @ 5.49% (0.325 0.33)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.5% (0.153 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.15%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 5.92% (0.331 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 8.67% (0.149 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-2 @ 6.35% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4.22% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-3 @ 3.1% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wealdstone 2-2 Dorking
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 0-1 Aldershot
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Wealdstone
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 2-2 Oldham
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 0-2 Barnet
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 0-0 Solihull
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 1-0 Solihull
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 2-2 Yeovil
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 1-1 Maidenhead
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Bromley 4-0 Solihull
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-1 Solihull
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League


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