SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
39.67% ( 0.03) | 24.36% ( -0.01) | 35.97% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.99% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.26% ( 0.03) | 42.74% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.86% ( 0.03) | 65.14% ( -0.03) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.4% ( 0.03) | 21.6% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.3% ( 0.05) | 54.7% ( -0.05) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.51% ( 0) | 23.49% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.48% ( 0) | 57.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 39.67% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 35.97% |
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