SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 53.78%. A win for Woking had a probability of 23.18% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Woking win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Woking | Draw | Notts County |
23.18% ( 0.1) | 23.04% ( 0.17) | 53.78% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 56.09% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.9% ( -0.67) | 44.1% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.52% ( -0.65) | 66.49% ( 0.65) |
| Woking Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.05% ( -0.28) | 32.95% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.47% ( -0.32) | 69.53% ( 0.31) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.65% ( -0.34) | 16.35% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.04% ( -0.61) | 45.96% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Woking | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 23.18% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.92% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 5.33% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.68% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.29% Total : 53.78% |
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