SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Notts County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Wrexham |
44.07% ( -2.79) | 26.05% ( 0.59) | 29.88% ( 2.2) |
| Both teams to score 52.22% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.06% ( -1.25) | 51.94% ( 1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.32% ( -1.09) | 73.68% ( 1.09) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( -1.82) | 23.46% ( 1.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.53% ( -2.71) | 57.47% ( 2.72) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.22% ( 1) | 31.78% ( -1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.79% ( 1.13) | 68.21% ( -1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.47)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.39)3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.45)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.24)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.25)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.97% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.64) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.49)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.23)Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.88% |
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