Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 70.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 11.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
