Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 73.19%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 10.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
