Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
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