SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | York City |
32.13% ( -0.01) | 25.16% ( 0.17) | 42.71% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 56.15% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.71% ( -0.77) | 47.29% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.48% ( -0.72) | 69.52% ( 0.72) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( -0.38) | 27.91% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.47% ( -0.49) | 63.53% ( 0.48) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.9% ( -0.41) | 22.1% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.53% ( -0.62) | 55.47% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.13% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.35% Total : 42.71% |
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