Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Bromley had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Bromley win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.