Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for York City had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
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