SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | York City |
36.36% ( 0.58) | 25.87% ( -0.03) | 37.78% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 54.68% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.4% ( 0.18) | 49.6% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.37% ( 0.16) | 71.62% ( -0.16) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% ( 0.42) | 26.45% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.37% ( 0.56) | 61.63% ( -0.56) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% ( -0.22) | 25.65% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.45% ( -0.3) | 60.55% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.23% Total : 36.36% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.78% |
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