SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Maidstone United |
46.19% ( 0.01) | 24.28% ( 0) | 29.53% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.83% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.49% ( -0.02) | 44.51% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.12% ( -0.01) | 66.88% ( 0.01) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.6% ( -0) | 19.41% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.78% ( -0) | 51.22% ( 0) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.75% ( -0.01) | 28.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.04% ( -0.02) | 63.96% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Maidstone United |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.09% 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 46.2% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.53% |
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