Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
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