SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 50.13%. A win for York City had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest York City win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | York City |
50.13% ( 0.04) | 23.19% ( 0.01) | 26.68% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.36% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.5% ( -0.1) | 41.5% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.1% ( -0.1) | 63.9% ( 0.1) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.29% ( -0.02) | 16.7% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.4% ( -0.04) | 46.59% ( 0.04) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( -0.09) | 28.73% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% ( -0.12) | 64.56% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | York City |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.29% Total : 50.13% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 26.68% |
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