SM
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Andorra win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Andorra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Liechtenstein win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Andorra in this match.
| Result | ||
| Andorra | Draw | Liechtenstein |
50.08% ( 0.07) | 23.74% ( -0) | 26.19% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.05% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.65% ( -0.04) | 44.35% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.27% ( -0.04) | 66.73% ( 0.04) |
| Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.21% ( 0.01) | 17.79% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.49% ( 0.02) | 48.51% ( -0.02) |
| Liechtenstein Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% ( -0.08) | 30.6% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.16% ( -0.09) | 66.83% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Andorra | Draw | Liechtenstein |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 3.67% Total : 50.08% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 26.19% |
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