SM
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Andorra had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Andorra win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Latvia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Latvia | Draw | Andorra |
49.99% ( 0.01) | 24.79% ( 0) | 25.22% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.72% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.36% ( -0.01) | 49.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.34% ( -0.01) | 71.66% ( 0.01) |
| Latvia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.12% | 19.87% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.01% ( -0) | 51.98% ( 0) |
| Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.79% ( -0.02) | 34.2% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.1% ( -0.02) | 70.9% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Latvia | Draw | Andorra |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.13% 3-0 @ 4.78% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 49.98% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.29% 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.22% |
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