SM
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Andorra win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Andorra win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.51%) and 3-1 (5.02%). The likeliest Moldova win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Andorra | Draw | Moldova |
41.19% ( -0.08) | 22.3% ( 0.02) | 36.52% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 68% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.65% ( -0.11) | 32.36% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.02% ( -0.13) | 53.98% ( 0.13) |
| Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.46% ( -0.08) | 16.54% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.7% ( -0.14) | 46.3% ( 0.14) |
| Moldova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.47% ( -0.03) | 18.53% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.24% ( -0.05) | 49.77% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Andorra | Draw | Moldova |
| 2-1 @ 8.36% 1-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.56% Total : 41.19% | 1-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.3% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.86% 2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)3-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 36.52% |
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