SM
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Liechtenstein win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Latvia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Latvia.
| Result | ||
| Latvia | Draw | Liechtenstein |
49.03% ( 0.12) | 25.23% ( 0.03) | 25.74% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.83% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.95% ( -0.22) | 51.05% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.09% ( -0.2) | 72.91% ( 0.2) |
| Latvia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( -0.04) | 20.84% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.48% ( -0.06) | 53.52% ( 0.07) |
| Liechtenstein Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.47% ( -0.24) | 34.53% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.75% ( -0.26) | 71.25% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Latvia | Draw | Liechtenstein |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 49.02% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 25.74% |
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