SM
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.96%) and 0-1 (5.93%). The likeliest Liechtenstein win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moldova would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liechtenstein | Draw | Moldova |
29.68% ( 0.01) | 21.66% ( -0.02) | 48.66% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 67.5% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.15% ( 0.11) | 31.84% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.61% ( 0.12) | 53.38% ( -0.12) |
| Liechtenstein Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.19% ( 0.06) | 21.8% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.98% ( 0.09) | 55.01% ( -0.08) |
| Moldova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.33% ( 0.04) | 13.67% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.13% ( 0.08) | 40.87% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liechtenstein | Draw | Moldova |
| 2-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 29.68% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 21.66% | 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.96% ( 0)0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.92% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.92% Total : 48.66% |
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