SM
| Current League B1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Armenia | Draw | Ukraine |
38.69% ( 1.6) | 24.69% ( -0.53) | 36.62% ( -1.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.84% ( 1.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.75% ( 2.45) | 44.25% ( -2.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.37% ( 2.33) | 66.62% ( -2.33) |
| Armenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.25% ( 1.95) | 22.74% ( -1.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.57% ( 2.8) | 56.43% ( -2.8) |
| Ukraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.17% ( 0.54) | 23.83% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.99% ( 0.77) | 58% ( -0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Armenia | Draw | Ukraine |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.39)2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.33)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.2)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.69% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.25)0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.6)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.72)0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.42)1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.06% Total : 36.62% |
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