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Nations League | League A
Oct 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Roi Baudouin
FN

Belgium
1 - 2
France

Openda (45+3')
Mangala (29'), Faes (53'), De Ketelaere (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kolo (35' pen., 62')
Digne (7'), Saliba (22'), Tchouameni (24'), Konate (45'), Maignan (79')
Tchouameni (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Italy 2-2 Belgium
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Israel 1-4 France
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for France had a probability of 23.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a France win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for France in this match.

Result
BelgiumDrawFrance
51.26% (-0.511 -0.51) 25.39% (0.236 0.24) 23.35% (0.275 0.27)
Both teams to score 48.97% (-0.384 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.38% (-0.659 -0.66)53.62% (0.657 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88% (-0.559 -0.56)75.12% (0.557 0.56)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (-0.47799999999999 -0.48)20.94% (0.476 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.33% (-0.75 -0.75)53.67% (0.748 0.75)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.94% (-0.11 -0.11)38.06% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.17% (-0.106 -0.11)74.83% (0.105 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 51.25%
    France 23.35%
    Draw 25.38%
BelgiumDrawFrance
1-0 @ 12.45% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.031999999999998 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.08% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 51.25%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.203 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.174 0.17)
1-2 @ 5.81% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 23.35%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Italy 2-2 Belgium
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: France 2-0 Belgium
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Belgium 3-1 Israel
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: France 1-0 Belgium
Monday, July 1 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Ukraine 0-0 Belgium
Wednesday, June 26 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Belgium 2-0 Romania
Saturday, June 22 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Israel 1-4 France
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: France 2-0 Belgium
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: France 1-3 Italy
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Spain 2-1 France
Tuesday, July 9 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Portugal 0-0 France (3-5 pen.)
Friday, July 5 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: France 1-0 Belgium
Monday, July 1 at 5pm in European Championship


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