Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw has a probability of 22.5% and a win for Belgium has a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Belgium win it is 0-1 (5.82%).