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Nations League | League A
Oct 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
BN

Italy
2 - 2
Belgium

Cambiaso (1'), Retegui (24')
Donnarumma (90'), Pisilli (90+6')
Pellegrini (40')
FT(HT: 2-1)
De Cuyper (42'), Trossard (61')
Trossard (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Israel 1-2 Italy
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: France 2-0 Belgium
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 62.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Belgium had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Belgium win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
ItalyDrawBelgium
62.81% (2.708 2.71) 21.65% (-0.848 -0.85) 15.54% (-1.86 -1.86)
Both teams to score 47.46% (-1.276 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.97% (0.339 0.34)49.03% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.89% (0.306 0.31)71.11% (-0.30500000000001 -0.31)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.98% (1.004 1)15.02% (-1.003 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.51% (1.87 1.87)43.49% (-1.87 -1.87)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.85% (-2.188 -2.19)44.15% (2.189 2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.75% (-1.846 -1.85)80.24% (1.846 1.85)
Score Analysis
    Italy 62.8%
    Belgium 15.54%
    Draw 21.64%
ItalyDrawBelgium
1-0 @ 12.56% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 11.91% (0.64 0.64)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.53% (0.65 0.65)
3-1 @ 6.16% (0.182 0.18)
4-0 @ 3.57% (0.419 0.42)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.183 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.078 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.2 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 62.8%
1-1 @ 10.27% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 3.98% (-0.268 -0.27)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 21.64%
0-1 @ 5.42% (-0.417 -0.42)
1-2 @ 4.2% (-0.441 -0.44)
0-2 @ 2.22% (-0.319 -0.32)
1-3 @ 1.15% (-0.199 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 15.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Israel 1-2 Italy
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: France 1-3 Italy
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Switzerland 2-0 Italy
Saturday, June 29 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Croatia 1-1 Italy
Monday, June 24 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Spain 1-0 Italy
Thursday, June 20 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Italy 2-1 Albania
Saturday, June 15 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: France 2-0 Belgium
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Belgium 3-1 Israel
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: France 1-0 Belgium
Monday, July 1 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Ukraine 0-0 Belgium
Wednesday, June 26 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Belgium 2-0 Romania
Saturday, June 22 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Belgium 0-1 Slovakia
Monday, June 17 at 5pm in European Championship


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