Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 56.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Israel had a probability of 19.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.25%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Israel win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
Israel	Draw	France
19.98% ( -0.08)	23.11% ( 0.12)	56.91% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 51.36% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.81% (

-0.59)

48.19% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.66% (

-0.55)

70.35% (

0.55)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.67% (

-0.42)

38.34% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.91% (

-0.41)

75.09% (

0.41)

France Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.29% (

-0.22)

16.71% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.4% (

-0.41)

46.6% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Israel 19.99%

France 56.91%

Draw 23.1%

Israel	Draw	France
1-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.94% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.5% Total : 19.99%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.06) Other @ 1% Total : 23.1%	0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 10.25% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.83% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.86% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.62% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.04% Total : 56.91%