SM
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Faroe Islands win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 38.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Faroe Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (4.96%) and 3-2 (4.68%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Faroe Islands in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Faroe Islands.
| Result | ||
| Faroe Islands | Draw | Lithuania |
40.14% ( 0.13) | 21.24% ( 0.02) | 38.62% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 72.49% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.33% ( -0.12) | 26.67% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.93% ( -0.15) | 47.07% ( 0.16) |
| Faroe Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.43% ( -0) | 14.57% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.36% ( -0.01) | 42.64% ( 0.01) |
| Lithuania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.86% ( -0.11) | 15.14% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.27% ( -0.21) | 43.73% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Faroe Islands | Draw | Lithuania |
| 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.68% ( -0)1-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.55% Total : 40.14% | 1-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 7.29% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.78% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.16% Total : 38.62% |
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