SM
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.1%) and 2-3 (4.66%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luxembourg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lithuania | Draw | Luxembourg |
37.33% ( 0) | 21.41% ( -0.01) | 41.25% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 71.69% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.35% ( 0.04) | 27.64% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.7% ( 0.05) | 48.3% ( -0.05) |
| Lithuania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.92% ( 0.02) | 16.08% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.53% ( 0.04) | 45.47% ( -0.04) |
| Luxembourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.43% ( 0.02) | 14.57% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.36% ( 0.03) | 42.63% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lithuania | Draw | Luxembourg |
| 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.42% ( 0)1-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.71% Total : 37.34% | 1-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.26% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.84% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.41% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.1% 2-3 @ 4.66% ( 0)0-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.46% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.24% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.37% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.34% 1-5 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 3.54% Total : 41.25% |
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