SM
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.63%) and 2-3 (4.97%). The likeliest Faroe Islands win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luxembourg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Faroe Islands | Draw | Luxembourg |
| 33.55% | 20.98% ( 0) | 45.47% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 72.37% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.6% ( -0.01) | 26.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.28% ( -0.02) | 46.72% ( 0.02) |
| Faroe Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.86% ( -0.01) | 17.14% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.62% ( -0.01) | 47.38% ( 0.01) |
| Luxembourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.35% ( -0.01) | 12.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.19% ( -0.01) | 38.81% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Faroe Islands | Draw | Luxembourg |
| 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.24% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.1% 1-0 @ 3.83% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.37% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 4.1% Total : 33.55% | 1-1 @ 7.91% ( 0) 2-2 @ 7.21% 3-3 @ 2.92% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.98% | 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.63% 2-3 @ 4.97% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0)0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.19% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.91% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.57% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.65% 3-4 @ 1.51% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 3.48% Total : 45.47% |
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