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Nations League | League C
Jun 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
FI

Turkey
4 - 0
Faroe Islands

Under (37'), Dervisoglu (47'), Dursun (82'), Demiral (85')
Soyuncu (25'), Under (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vatnhamar (32'), Hansson (45+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Lithuania 0-6 Turkey
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Luxembourg vs. Turkey
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Faroe Islands 0-1 Luxembourg
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Faroe Islands vs. Lithuania
Saturday, June 11 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Turkey 3-0 Faroe Islands

On paper, this looks to be a routine victory for Turkey against the minnows from the Faroe Islands. The hosts may have endured a disappointing last 12 months, but they should possess a far superior quality on the day in Istanbul and should cruise to a comfortable victory by a relatively wide margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 15.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.52%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.47%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
TurkeyDrawFaroe Islands
58.26% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 26.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 15.31% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 35.14% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.54% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)65.46% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.79% (-0.029 -0.03)84.21% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)56.7%
Faroe Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.6% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)54.4% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.48% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)87.52% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Turkey 58.25%
    Faroe Islands 15.31%
    Draw 26.42%
TurkeyDrawFaroe Islands
1-0 @ 18.37% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 13.52% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.64% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 2.45% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 58.25%
0-0 @ 12.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-1 @ 11.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 15.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Turkey 2-3 Italy
Tuesday, March 29 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Portugal 3-1 Turkey
Thursday, March 24 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Montenegro 1-2 Turkey
Tuesday, November 16 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Turkey 6-0 Gibraltar
Saturday, November 13 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Latvia 1-2 Turkey
Monday, October 11 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Turkey 1-1 Norway
Friday, October 8 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Faroe Islands 0-1 Liechtenstein
Tuesday, March 29 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Israel 3-2 Faroe Islands
Monday, November 15 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Denmark 3-1 Faroe Islands
Friday, November 12 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Faroe Islands 0-1 Scotland
Tuesday, October 12 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Faroe Islands 0-2 Austria
Saturday, October 9 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Faroe Islands 2-1 Moldova
Tuesday, September 7 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe


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