SM
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 57.56%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lithuania | Draw | Turkey |
19.43% ( 0) | 23.01% ( -0.01) | 57.56% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.78% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.48% ( 0.05) | 48.51% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.36% ( 0.04) | 70.64% ( -0.04) |
| Lithuania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.88% ( 0.03) | 39.12% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.16% ( 0.03) | 75.83% ( -0.03) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.41% ( 0.02) | 16.59% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.6% ( 0.04) | 46.39% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lithuania | Draw | Turkey |
| 1-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.14% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.86% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.61% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.43% | 1-1 @ 10.94% 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.27% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.88% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.82% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.64% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 57.55% |
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