Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 18.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.89%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Finland in this match.
