Nations League | League B

Oct 14, 2020 at 5pm UK

Finland
1 - 0
Rep. Ireland

Jensen (67')
Jensen (42')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Connolly (81')

Dara O'Shea delighted to make Republic of Ireland debut

Stephen Kenny: 'Squad disruption harmed us against Finland'

The Match

Match Report

New manager Stephen Kenny has seen his first five games pass without a win.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's UEFA Nations League clash between Finland and Republic of Ireland, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.89%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Finland in this match.

Result
Finland	Draw	Republic of Ireland
53.25%	28.04%	18.71%

Both teams to score 36.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.64%

66.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.17%

84.83%

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.46%

25.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.59%

60.41%

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.52%

50.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.01%

84.99%

Score Analysis

Finland 53.23%

Republic of Ireland 18.71%

Draw 28.04%

Finland	Draw	Republic of Ireland
1-0 @ 17.59% 2-0 @ 12% 2-1 @ 8.21% 3-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 3.73% 4-0 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.28% 4-1 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.82% Total : 53.23%	0-0 @ 12.89% 1-1 @ 12.03% 2-2 @ 2.81% Other @ 0.31% Total : 28.04%	0-1 @ 8.82% 1-2 @ 4.11% 0-2 @ 3.01% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.83% Total : 18.71%