Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Portugal had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Portugal win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
